IPL 2024 Qualification Chances: RR vs KKR, RCB vs CSK, SRH vs GT, DC vs LSG

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IPL 2024 Qualification Chances: RR vs KKR, RCB vs CSK, SRH vs GT, DC vs LSG
IPL 2024 Qualification chances: RR vs KKR, RCB vs CSK, SRH vs GT, DC vs LSG (Credits: ANI, english.jagran.com)

IPL 2024 Qualification Chances: RR vs KKR, RCB vs CSK, SRH vs GT, DC vs LSG

Following the first no-result of the IPL 2024 season between Gujarat Titans and Kolkata Knight Riders in Ahmedabad, the Shubman Gill-led side became the third team from IPL 2024 to be eliminated from the IPL 2024 playoff race while KKR with 19 points have now ensured a top-two finish. This also brings down the equation to six teams vying for three IPL 2024 playoff spots with seven more matches to go. Here’s a look at the possible IPL 2024 playoff qualification scenarios and what the teams have to do with their remaining matches in bracket:

KKR’s Playoff Journey (RR vs KKR)

KKR will now finish the IPL league stages either as the table-toppers or second-placed team, ensuring their place in Qualifier 1 at Chennai. This sets up potential clashes against other top teams. If they lose in Qualifier 1, they will move to Qualifier 2 and await the winner of the Eliminator for another shot at the final. The abandoned GT vs KKR match gave the Shreyas Iyer-led side one point, setting them at 19 points in total.

The draw in the GT vs KKR encounter resulted in one point for the team led by Shreyas Iyer. With 19 points accumulated, only Rajasthan Royals have the potential to surpass them in the points table, but this is contingent on RR winning both of their remaining games. Other teams in contention, such as SRH, can achieve a maximum of 18 points, while CSK and LSG can reach up to 16 points each. DC and RCB, on the other hand, can only attain a maximum of 14 points.

Rajasthan Royals’ Prospects (RR vs KKR, RR vs PBKS)

The loss to CSK on Sunday was Rajasthan Royals’ third on the trot, showing signs of vulnerability despite a strong showing throughout the league. They still have two games remaining and still need just one win to seal the playoff spot. Their remaining two games are at home – against PBKS and table-topper KKR. The game against knocked-out PBKS will be their best chance to get the Qualification. If RR secures a victory, it will guarantee that neither CSK, RCB, DC, nor LSG can exceed their points total.

However, if RR were to lose both of their remaining matches and stay at 16 points, it opens the possibility for three other teams to also reach 16 points. In such a scenario, Net Run Rate (NRR) could become a decisive factor, potentially allowing SRH and CSK to surpass RR. Even if LSG were to reach 16 points, it’s improbable that they would surpass RR in NRR. Therefore, RR would still advance even if they suffer defeats in their remaining two games.

CSK’s Playoff Bid (RCB vs CSK)

CSK’s win over RR means CSK can make a push for a playoff spot in their final league game against RCB in Bengaluru. Because of RCB’s position in the table, this fixture will become a virtual knockout. The match outcome will heavily influence the playoff standings. If CSK emerges victorious, they will advance to 16 points, eliminating RCB from contention.

However, this victory alone will not guarantee CSK a playoff berth. RR can secure a position out of CSK’s reach with two wins, as can SRH. LSG could tie with CSK in points, and if LSG achieves significant victories, Net Run Rate (NRR) might determine the final spot. However, LSG’s NRR is notably low, making it improbable for them to surpass CSK even with convincing wins in their remaining matches. Therefore, a victory against RCB would more or less secure a playoff spot for CSK.

What if they lose? In such a scenario, CSK must ensure they do not suffer a loss by more than 18 runs (if RCB scores 200) to maintain a superior NRR to RCB’s despite the defeat. If they lose, they would rely on SRH to lose their remaining two matches and for LSG to endure at least one loss. This sequence of events would guarantee CSK’s passage to the top 4.

SRH’s Playoff Hopes (SRH vs GT, SRH vs PBKS)

SRH may be slightly ahead in terms of sealing the third IPL 2024 playoff spot, but there is no guarantee that SRH can get through. With 14 points and two games remaining SRH can reach the 18-point mark ensuring a playoff spot, but one loss in either of their last two games will make them vulnerable. SRH’s opponents in their last two fixtures are GT and PBKS.

CSK, along with either LSG or DC, could match SRH in points. If SRH proceeds to lose both of their final two matches, they might risk trailing behind CSK and LSG in the points standings. SRH is scheduled to face GT and PBKS in their last two fixtures. Victories in both matches will secure their playoff berth. Moreover, if RR falters in their last two games, SRH could target a top-two finish.

RCB’s Late Surge (RCB vs CSK)

With their fifth win on the trot, RCB are making a late push for a playoff spot. Their final league game against CSK – who are also fighting for the playoff spot – is crucial. The outcome of this match will have a significant impact on their playoff chances.

A defeat would mark the end of RCB’s campaign, while a victory would secure their place in the playoffs. However, to achieve this, RCB must defeat CSK by more than 18 runs (if they reach a total of 200 runs) to surpass CSK’s net run rate. Despite this, SRH and LSG still have the potential to exceed RCB. However, by the time RCB faces CSK on Saturday, LSG will have completed both of their matches. If SRH and LSG lose their remaining matches and do not exceed 14 points, and if RCB defeats CSK by the specified margin, both RCB and CSK can advance to the top 4.

DC’s Slim Chances (DC vs LSG)

Delhi Capitals latest loss – to RCB – means they are more or less out of the playoff race. With one game against LSG remaining, DC can reach 14 points, but their NRR works against them. The result heavily depends on other teams’ performances.

With one match left against LSG, DC can accumulate 14 points. Despite the potential for SRH, LSG, CSK, and RCB to all finish with 14 points, DC’s net run rate is not favorable, leading to their disadvantage. The optimal scenario for DC to qualify involves heavy defeats for SRH in their final two matches, CSK defeating RCB, and LSG losing both of their matches. However, this scenario is more hopeful than it is based on logical reasoning.

LSG’s NRR Concerns (DC vs LSG, MI vs LSG)

LSG’s poor NRR poses a significant obstacle in their bid for a playoff spot. They need favorable outcomes in other matches to secure their position in the top four. CSK and RCB’s victories on Sunday have added complexity to LSG’s situation. Their net run rate of -0.769 is the poorest among the teams competing for a playoff berth, which could prove detrimental even if they win their remaining two matches.

While they can accumulate up to 16 points, securing a playoff spot hinges on SRH losing both their games and remaining at 14 points, along with CSK losing to RCB and staying at 14 points. Under these circumstances, LSG could secure a playoff berth as the third-placed team. However, if SRH win at least one of their games and CSK defeat RCB, then even if LSG win both their matches, they will not qualify for the top 4 based on net run rate.

Summary:

TeamMatches RemainingMaximum PointsPlayoff Scenarios
KKR019Guaranteed top 2 finish. Qualify for Qualifier 1.
RR216Need 1 win to secure playoff spot. May qualify even with 2 losses, depending on NRR and other results.
CSK116Must win against RCB to stay in contention. Can qualify if they win or lose within certain margins and other results favor them.
SRH218Need 2 wins to secure playoff spot. Risk of elimination if they lose either match.
RCB114Must defeat CSK by significant margin to stay in contention. Playoff hopes depend on other results as well.
DC114Must win against LSG and rely on other teams’ losses. Slim chances of qualification.
LSG216Need favorable outcomes in other matches due to poor NRR. Must win both matches and hope for specific results in other matches to have a chance at qualification.

RCB vs DC: Check Highlights

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